With air travel still suppressed in the wake of COVID-19, those making holiday travel plans will likely be traveling by car. While reduced public air travel helps to prevent the spread of the virus, increased road travel raises the risk for accidents and road fatalities, making holidays a particularly dangerous time to travel.
Around Thanksgiving, Christmas, and New Years, the rate of fatal car accidents increases by over 10 percent. Around other holidays, the frequency of fatal crashes rises even further. Days near summer holidays tend to be the most dangerous, especially around the Fourth of July. This holiday period averages nearly 140 fatal crashes per day, a 54 percent rise above non-holiday rates.
To profile the states with the largest increase in fatal vehicle crashes during holiday periods, researchers at CoPilot analyzed data from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration over a 15-year period (2004 to 2018). Increases in fatal vehicle crashes during holiday periods were calculated by comparing holiday periods to non-holiday periods. Researchers also highlighted which specific holiday periods were most susceptible to fatal vehicle crashes in each state.
States with the largest increase in fatal vehicle crashes during holiday periods tend to be those with lower population densities that record lower numbers of fatal vehicle crashes on a daily basis. For instance, Alaska, which recorded the largest increase in fatal vehicle crashes during holiday periods, averages less than one fatal vehicle crash per day during non-holiday periods. However, during holiday periods, such crashes increase by 72 percent and account for 8 percent of annual fatal vehicle crashes in Alaska.
Here is a summary of the data for Florida:
Increase in fatal crashes on holidays: 29.8%
Most dangerous holiday for road travel: Memorial Day
Average fatal crashes per day on holidays: 9.35
Average fatal crashes per day on non-holidays: 7.20
Share of all fatal crashes occurring on holidays: 6.3%
For reference, here are the statistics for the entire United States:
Increase in fatal crashes on holidays: 30.2%
Most dangerous holiday for road travel: Fourth of July
Average fatal crashes per day on holidays: 118.49
Average fatal crashes per day on non-holidays: 91.02
Share of all fatal crashes occurring on holidays: 6.3%
For more information, a detailed methodology, and complete results, you can find the original report on CoPilot’s website: https://www.copilotsearch.com/posts/states-with-biggest-increase-in-holiday-road-fatalities/
